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Potential effects of climate change on the temperate zones of North and South America RChHN
LAUENROTH,W.K.; EPSTEIN,H.E.; PARUELO,J.M.; BURKE,I.C.; AGUIAR,M.R.; SALA,O.E..
Under current conditions, large areas of temperate western North America and temperate southern South America have arid to subhumid climates that make them vulnerable to changes as a result of human-induced climate change. Predictions of climate change from global circulation models with a doubling of present atmospheric levels of CO2 suggest large changes in mean annual temperature and small to no changes in mean annual precipitation and the proportion of precipitation received during the summer. Our objective here was to evaluate how predictions of climate change from global circulation models will influence climatic patterns and by inference the distribution of temperate zone ecosystems in North and South America. Calculations of annual water deficits...
Tipo: Journal article Palavras-chave: Climate change; Temperate ecosystems; Global circulation model; CO2.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0716-078X2004000300004
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When everything is not everywhere but species evolve: an alternative method to model adaptive properties of marine ecosystems ArchiMer
Sauterey, Boris; Ward, Ben A.; Follows, Michael J.; Bowler, Chris; Claessen, David.
The functional and taxonomic biogeography of marine microbial systems reflects the current state of an evolving system. Current models of marine microbial systems and biogeochemical cycles do not reflect this fundamental organizing principle. Here, we investigate the evolutionary adaptive potential of marine microbial systems under environmental change and introduce explicit Darwinian adaptation into an ocean modelling framework, simulating evolving phytoplankton communities in space and time. To this end, we adopt tools from adaptive dynamics theory, evaluating the fitness of invading mutants over annual timescales, replacing the resident if a fitter mutant arises. Using the evolutionary framework, we examine how community assembly, specifically the...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Phytoplankton; Competition; Trait-based adaptive strategies; Adaptive dynamics; Eco-evolutionary dynamics; Trade-off; Community; Global circulation model.
Ano: 2015 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00617/72883/71917.pdf
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